SpreadKnowledge MLB Betting Value Pick of the Day – Tuesday, October 22nd, 2019


After a regular season defined by home runs, it’s fitting that the 2019 World Series will feature some of the greatest starting pitching matchups in recent postseason history.

Three-time Cy Young-winner Max Scherzer will lock horns with this year’s AL Cy Young front-runner Gerrit Cole in an epic Game 1 showdown.

The Spread Knowledge MLB System thinks pitchers will indeed rule the game. The pick with the highest Trend Value Grade is betting the UNDER of 7 total runs scored. This pick sports a B+ Trend Value Score, with a predicted win rate of more than 55%.

Conversely, picking the OVER for 7 total runs scored has a C+ rating, with a 39% predicted win rate.

Other stats of interest:

  • Both pitchers were among the Top 10 ERA Leaders.
  • Scherzer and Cole ranked #1 and #2 in both FIP and K/9.
  • Cole led all of baseball with a 79% Quality Start rate. Scherzer’s impressive 63% Quality Start rate checked in at 63%.
  • In 67 combined starts, spanning both the regular season and playoffs, these pitchers have only allowed 4 runs or more 10 times combined. (15%).

By any measurement, these are two of the very best – if not the best – pitchers in all of baseball. Thus far, their regular season domination has carried over to the postseason.

The Spread Knowledge MLB System likes it, and we like it. We recommend betting UNDER 7 total runs scored for Game 1 of the 2019 World Series.

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