SpreadKnowledge betting tips for Bundesliga’s Matchday 30

Hoffenheim v RB Leipzig
Over 2.5 goals has paid out in Hoffenheim’s last eight league games at their PreZero Arena while Leipzig’s last two league games away have seen over 2.5 total goals scored. While there could well be three or more goals scored in this fixture, I’m going to err on the side of caution and go for over 1.5 total goals. Hoffenheim have yet to be behind at half-time in their five matches played since the league returned while Leipzig, who trailed 1-0 at the interval of their first game back against Freiburg, have not trailed at the break in their last four.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 total goals

Cologne v Union Berlin
Cologne’s incredible run of games in which there were three or more total goals scored came to an end last weekend when they drew 1-1 at Augsburg. I predicted there would be over 1.5 total goals which eventually landed, but it was close with both goals coming in the final four minutes. This game offers Cologne a chance to be involved in another match with over 2.5 total goals which would be their eighth successive home league game in which that has happened. They match up well with Union Berlin whose last four league games played away their capital home have seen over 2.5 pay out. The second half could be the highest scoring half given the defensive records of both sides. Cologne have conceded 10 first half goals in their last 13 league games while conceding 15 in the second half. Union have conceded 10 goals before the interval in their last 15 matches and given up 23 goals after half-time.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Dusseldorf v Dortmund
The bet that jumps out in this fixture is the second half being the highest scoring half. Of the last 51 goals scored in matches involving Dortmund, 35 (68.6%) have been scored in the second half. Of the last 39 goals netted in Dusseldorf’s last 15 league games, 25 (64.1%) have come after the interval. And the smart money would be on Dortmund to win the second half. The Yellow and Blacks have outscored their opponents 28-7 in the second half while Dusseldorf have been outscored 18-7 after half-time. Dortmund will be strong favourites to score the first goal also. They have done so in eight of their last nine league games while Dusseldorf have failed to open the scoring in their last three home games.
Suggested bet: Second half to be Dortmund’s highest scoring half

Hertha Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt
These two sides have played the patient game in recent times with the majority of their goals scored coming in the second half. Hertha have scored 21 goals in their last 14 league games and 17 (80.9%) of them have come in the second half. Eintracht have scored 23 goals in their last 14 league encounters and 19 (82.6%) have been scored in the second half. I would expect that trend to continue in this fixture just as it did in the reverse fixture when three of the four goals were scored after the interval.
Suggested bet: Second half to be the highest scoring half

Paderborn v Werder Bremen
It’s a battle between the Bundesliga’s bottom two. Could this be the weekend that Paderborn’s exit from the Bundesliga is confirmed? They remain bottom 11 points from safety and eight points behind Dusseldorf who currently occupy the relegation play-off place. Steffen Baumgart’s side have not won any of their last 11 league games although they have drawn four of their five games since the league returned a month ago. Werder Bremen’s chances of surviving as each week passes but while there is hope, they will carry on fighting. Don’t expect too many goals in this encounter. Paderborn have failed to score in three of their last seven and when they have scored in the other four games, they have managed only one goal. Werder Bremen have failed to score in 10 of their last 17 matches. They have only scored multiple goals in one of those 17 matches.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 goals

Wolfsburg v Freiburg
In terms of qualifying for European football next season, Freiburg are on the outside looking in. They are currently eighth in the table, two points behind Hoffenheim who are one place above them. A win at Wolfsburg will move them to within a point of their opponents who are sixth. The first meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Freiburg with the only goal coming five minutes from time. This is a difficult one to call in terms of betting purposes so I’m going to go for under 3.5 total goals.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 total goals

Bayern Munich v Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich could be crowned champions if they beat Borussia Monchengladbach in the evening kick-off and Dortmund lose at Dusseldorf earlier on Saturday afternoon. If the leaders are to win this game, they will have to do it without two of their most influential players. Robert Lewandowski, who leads the league with 30 goals and Thomas Muller, who has a league-high 20 assists, are both suspended after picking up yellow cards last weekend. Their absence will allow Serge Gnabry the chance to lead the line. Gnabry ended a five-game goal drought in the league when he scored his side’s third in their 4-2 win at Bayer Leverkusen.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Mainz v Augsburg
The last 17 meetings between these two sides have seen at least two goals scored and I think that sequence could continue this weekend. Seven of Mainz’s last eight league games have seen over 1.5 total goals pay out while 18 of Augsburg’s last 19 league games have produced a minimum of two total goals scored. Neither of these sides are used to leading at half-time. Mainz have turned around at the break leading just once in their last six league games while the visitors have led at the interval once in their last eight. Goals have been more common in the second half of matches involving Augsburg than before the break. Of the last 14 league goals they have scored, 10 (71.4%) have come in the second half. And of the 29 league goals they have conceded, 24 (82.8) have been scored after half-time.   
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Schalke v Bayer Leverkusen
The final game of Matchday 30 sees Bayer Leverkusen travel to Schalke. The form book suggests this should be a straightforward away win. Schalke’s search for a win continues as last weekend’s 1-1 draw at Union Berlin was the 12th straight game without a win. Leverkusen led league leaders Bayern for 17 minutes before the champions-elect went on to win 4-2. I’m going for the visitors to score the first goal in this game. Leverkusen has been quick out of the blocks scoring the first goal in seven of their last eight league games while Schalke has conceded the opening goal in six of their last eight,
Suggested bet: Leverkusen to score the first goal

Spreadknowledge betting tips for the EPL

Watford v Leicester
Watford are fighting to stay out of the bottom three while Leicester have their sights on ending the campaign in second spot. The Foxes go into this game with an impressive half-time record this campaign. In their last 10 EPL matches, Leicester have not trailed at the interval – leading four times and being tied in the other six. Watford have not led at the break in their last three league games. Brendan Rodgers’ side have not conceded a first half goal in their last seven league encounters while the home side have gone three league games without finding the net in the first half.
Prediction: Leicester to lead at half-time
Brighton v Arsenal
Arsenal’s return to action on Wednesday was going to plan for 44 minutes at Manchester City. The game was goalless but two errors from David Luiz either side of half-time took the game away from them. It ended their eight-game unbeaten run and they will hope to bounce back at Brighton who are without a win in their last nine league games. Neither side is used to going into the half-time interval ahead on the scoreboard. Wednesday’s defeat was Arsenal’s sixth game in which they have not been leading at the break (four ties and losing twice) while Brighton have not led in their last six EPL matches (losing three times, level three times). Arsenal cannot afford to lose this game and I expect changes to be made to the starting line-up that should win by two or more goals.
Prediction: Tie at half-time
West Ham v Wolves
If West Ham manager David Moyes has done his homework during the lockdown, then he will know how slow Wolves have been to start matches this season. Of their last 13 league games, Wolves have scored the first goal just once. The last time they opened the scoring in an away fixture was on December 8 at Brighton. Since then, their last six journeys to opposition grounds have seen them fail to score first. West Ham, who have taken four points from their last two home games, have been first to register on the scoreboard in each of them. Incidentally, three of the last five league games Wolves have played were goalless draws. West Ham haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches since beating Bournemouth 4-0 on January 1.
Prediction: West Ham to score the first goal
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Don’t be surprised if Crystal Palace win this game 1-0. Palace’s last three EPL games before the break were 1-0 victories against Newcastle, Brighton and Watford – all sides 13th in the standings or lower. This is a match-up between Roy Hodgson’s well-organised Palace side and Eddie Howe’s squad of players who are in the middle of the relegation battle. Another bet that might land is Palace to win the second half. Of their last 15 goals scored, 11 have come after the interval, while the home side have been outscored 6-17 in the second half. Bournemouth have scored nine goals in their last 10 EPL contests and if that scoring does not improve, they could be playing in the second tier of English football next season.
Prediction: Palace to win to nil
Newcastle v Sheffield United
Sheffield United were denied a comeback win at Aston Villa on Wednesday night when they were denied a legitimate goal just before half-time due to a technical fault with the goalline technology which failed to see Villa keeper Orjan Nyland carry the ball over the line. The two points they missed out on at the end of their 0-0 draw could be the difference between qualifying for next season’s Champions League and settling for a spot in the Europa League. Newcastle has drawn their last two home games 0-0 and another goalless draw should not be a surprise too many people. Steve Bruce’s side has managed to score just once in their last four at St James’ Park while the Blades have not given up the first goal in their last three matches and they have kept their opponents to nil in their last two.
Prediction: Under 2.5 total goals
Aston Villa v Chelsea
Dean Smith’s side will hope Lady Luck stays with them for the remainder of the season after getting a fortuitous break against Sheffield United on Wednesday. That was the eighth successive EPL game in which Villa had not led at half-time. Technology helped them break a run of seven games in which they had trailed at the interval. Chelsea went into lockdown buoyed by their 4-0 win over Everton at Stamford Bridge. It was the third consecutive match in which Chelsea scored the first goal. Can Villa finally open the scoring for the first time in eight home games? Aston Villa’s second half performances could decide the outcome of this encounter. The Villans have been outscored 6-19 after half-time which could be a weakness Chelsea will exploit.
Prediction: Chelsea to win the second half
Everton v Liverpool
The good news for Everton is that Liverpool cannot win their 18th domestic league title at Goodison Park. The bad news for Everton is that they haven’t beaten their Merseyside neighbours in 21 attempts. However, the Toffees have Carlo Ancelotti in charge of them now who has already inflicted defeat on the league leaders this season when he guided Napoli to victory in the Champions League. The stat that jumps out from this game is the impressive half-time records of both sides. Everton have not trailed at the interval in their last 11 home EPL matches while Jurgen Klopp’s side has not been behind at the break in their last eight league games away from Anfield. Nine of the last 17 meetings have finished in a tie (+320) which would not be the worst result for either of these two sides.
Prediction: Draw at half-time
Manchester City v Burnley
Matchday 30 concludes with Burnley’s trip to Manchester City on Monday. The Etihad Stadium holds plenty of bad recent memories for the Clarets who have been beaten 5-0 on their last two visits. In fact, City have scored five goals in four of their last nine home games with Burnley in a fixture that generally produces a lot of goals. Since the last goalless draw in October 1975, a total of 46 goals have been scored in the 10 meetings at Maine Road and the Etihad with City scoring 36 of them. While City have dominated this fixture in recent years, Burnley won’t make life easy for their hosts. In their last six EPL games, Burnley has failed to give up the first goal. However, with just three first half goals scored in their last 17 league matches, the visitors cannot afford to fall behind to a City side that has taken maximum points in the seven games in which they have scored the first goal.
Prediction: Manchester City HT/FT double