MLB Free Pick of the Day for Sunday, August 11

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
* 2019 MLB Record: 202-140-8 (59.1%) *

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[4:10 p.m. EST] Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (1.5-run line: -110)
ARZ: Mike Leake – R (9-8, 4.24 ERA/1.29 WHIP)
LAD: Hyun-Jin Ryu – L (11-2, 1.53 ERA/0.94 WHIP)

The SpreadKnowledge MLB Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the D-Backs at Dodgers game out West. We’ll be taking the Dodgers on the 1.5-run line with nice trends leading the way.

Hyun-Jin Ryu clearly likes sleeping in his own bed, as evidenced by his gaudy 8-0 record and 0.89 ERA/0.79 WHIP in 10 starts at home. The Dodgers are 18-2 in Ryu’s last 20 starts there.

It truly is remarkable what Ryu has been able to do at Chavez Ravine, and he’ll be facing a D-Backs team that hasn’t been doing well against left-handed pitching of late. Arizona hasn’t been able to figure Ryu out yet this season, with only one run against him in 13 innings of work.

Mike Leake will be pitching for the D-Backs… and that’s great news for the Dodgers. Leake has allowed at least eight hits in six of his last eight starts, including 30 total over his last three (18 innings of work).

Los Angeles’s offense hasn’t been at its best lately, but this is a perfect opportunity for them to get back on the good foot. For as good as Ryu has been at home, Leake has been the exact opposite in road starts – he’s 2-6 with a 5.53 ERA and opposing hitters are raking him at a .303 clip.

All in all, it’s a massive mismatch of starting pitcher. Let’s take advantage of that and go with the Dodgers on the 1.5-run line!

* Final Score Prediction * Los Angeles Dodgers: 7 – Arizona Diamondbacks: 1