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[10:10 p.m. EST] Colorado Rockies (ML: -108) at San Diego Padres
COL: Jon Gray – R (10-7, 4.03 ERA/1.39 WHIP)
SD: Eric Lauer – L (6-8, 4.43 ERA/1.34 WHIP)
The SpreadKnowledge MLB Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the Padres-Rockies game, with the visitors coming out victorious. After all, Colorado has managed to win six of the nine meetings between the two teams this season.
Jon Gray has a fantastic history against the Padres, going 10-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP against them in 18 career starts. This season, he’s 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.40 WHIP versus San Diego in four outings (three starts).
Other than two blowup outings against the Giants, Gray has done quite well in his last nine starts, allowing three runs or fewer. It’s such a baffling feat, considering San Francisco has been one of the worst offensive teams in baseball over the last few weeks. Nevertheless, Gray shouldn’t run into that problem tonight. The Padres’ offense has anemic .261 weighted on-base average, .147 ISO (power metric) and 30.3% K-rate numbers against right-handed pitching over the last 21 days.
For yesterday’s free pick, we had the over in the Padres-Mariners game, hoping the Padres would be able to smack Yusei Kikuchi around T-Mobile Park. If they couldn’t get it done in that great of a scenario, that should give us plenty of optimism for Gray to get it done tonight.
Eric Lauer has been consistently knocked around by this Rockies team, going 0-3 with a 12.51 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in four career starts. This season, it’s been even worse, allowing a total of 18 hits, four walks and 13 runs against Colorado with an opposing batting average of .529!
Both of these teams have been struggling of late, but we can be more compassionate to the Rockies and the difficulty of their schedule. Not to mention, the number of marquee pitchers they’ve faced during this run of losses.
All in all, we’re looking for Gray to outduel Lauer, and give the Rockies the victory in the process.
* Final Score Prediction * Colorado Rockies: 5 – San Diego Padres: 2