Seven of nine of my tips landed last weekend which brings my percentage to 74.0 per cent since the Bundesliga returned to action. Here are my tips for this weekend’s games.
Freiburg v Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach have more riding in this game than Freiburg with the visitors well placed to qualify for next season’s Champions League. Marco Rose’ side are currently fourth but a win at Freiburg will see them move to within a point of Dortmind who enter this weekend’s fixtures second. Monchengladbach have taken 41 points from a possible 45 when they have scored the first goal in matches. Freiburg have not scored the first goal in their last two league games so I would expect the visitors to once again open the scoring in this fixture.
Suggested bet: Monchengladbach to score the first goal
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Munich are all set to be crowned champions for a 30th time and their eighth in a row. Hans-Dieter Flick’s side have a comfortable seven-point cushion at the top of the Bundesliga with just five games to play. And their form has been phenomenal before the COVID-19 break and after with 14 wins and a draw from their last 15 league games. And they have been winning in style with 17 of their 21 wins coming after they have led at half-time. Their last four wins have seen HT/FT doubles land. And this should pay out again.
Suggested bet: Bayern Munich HT/FT double
Dusseldorf v Hoffenheim
Dusseldorf’s fight to avoid relegation continues at home to Hoffenheim who are still in the mix to qualify for next season’s Europa League. Hoffenheim have scored exactly one goal in each of their last five league games away from home and there is every possibility they could add to that sequence and perhaps score more than once. The visitors also have a good run going on the road and if they score in this fixture, it will be the 13th successive away league game in which they will have found the net.
Suggested bet: Hoffenheim to score over 0.5 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz
Mainz have not done enough to secure their place in next season’s Bundesliga, but a win or two in their final five games should do it. This will be a a tough test for them and there is a good chance both teams will score. It’s happened in Eintracht Frankfurt’s last three home games while BTTS has paid out in Mainz’s last two away games.
Suggested bet: Both teams to score
RB Leipzig v Paderborn
Paderborn’s time in the Bundesliga looks like it is coming to an end. The side sitting rock bottom of the league are running out of time to claw back the points they need to get out of trouble. With five games remaining, they need help from other clubs which at this stage of the season is very unlikely. And a trip to RB Leipzig is the last thing they need. The home side are in a battle to secure a top-four spot which would see them qualify for next season’s Champions League. It would be a shock to see anything other than a Leipzig win here. And a comfortable win at that.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals
Dortmund v Hertha Berlin
Dortmund’s chances of winning the league are all but over, but with just four points between them and fifth-placed Bayer Leverkusen, the home side can not take this fixture for granted. After a goalless first half at Paderborn last weekend. And I expect Dortmund carrying that form into this game. Dortmund have scored the first goal in seven of their last eight games and with the attacking options they have, I would expect the home side to strike first in this game.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals
Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen are another side in danger of slipping out of the Bundesliga when this season draws to a close in the next month or so. And when the dust settles, they can look at a lack of goals as one of the reason why. They have scored just three goals in their last five games. They have failed to score in six of their last 11 games. Those struggles are likely to continue at home to Wolfsburg who have picked up more points away from home than at home in their last 10 games. With 13 points from a possible 15, Wolfsburg will start as favourites in this game.
Suggested bet: Wolfsburg to win
Union Berlin v Schalke
Schalke are in free-fall right now, but they should have enough points on the board to stay up. Again goals has been an issue for David Warner’s side and with nothing to play for, you have to wonder if they can come away from the capital with a win. Neither of these sides are used to going in at half-time ahead on the scoreboard. Schalke have led at the interval just once in their last 12 while the home side have not led at half-time in their last five. Don’t be surprised if this is level at half-time as both sides approach this game with caution.
Suggested bet: Draw at half-time
Augsburg v Cologne
When will Cologne’s run of successive games with at least three total goals scored come to an end? The run currently stands at 12 thanks to their six-goal entertaining home game against RB Leipzig. That run includes Cologne’s last five away games and with two of Augsburg’s last three home games producing three or more goals, then over 2.5 total goals could be the best bet in this fixture. BTTS is another bet that could land. It’s landed in Cologne’s last six games while five of Augsburg’s last six games have seen goals for both them and their opponents.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals