SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Saturday, September 14

[7:00 p.m. EST] Under 46 – #9 Florida Gators (-8) at Kentucky Wildcats

The SpreadKnowledge College Football Free Pick of the day comes to us from the total on the Florida-Kentucky game. We’re taking the under, as we’ll have a backup QB in this game with two ferocious defenses.

Last year, Kentucky got their first win against Florida in over three decades. Let’s not get too excited about a repeat, though, as a certain factor of personnel will likely decide this one. It’ll be a nasty SEC game, but the Gators should be just fine in Lexington.

Felipe Franks had a solid game last week, going 25-for-27 with two touchdowns en route to a 45-0 win. Granted, this week’s opponent will be much tougher, but there is plenty of motivation for Franks to do well. After all, Franks was the QB last year when Florida’s huge win streak against Kentucky ended. There’s no doubt at all that he wants to right those wrongs. Look for him to play a composed game, and the rushing attack to chew some clock up in this matchup.

The Gators’ defense will be instrumental in this game as well. They’ve got tons of playmakers in their back seven and some nasty grinders up front. When Kentucky’s run game gets shut down early, look for the pass rush to start creating some havoc.

QB Terry Wilson was injured in Kentucky’s last game and he’ll miss the rest of the season. Now, they’ll turn to Troy transfer Sawyer Smith, and you have to wonder how he’ll do with a new set of personnel in a marquee game. Florida will bring a lot of pressure his way, and that could be problematic for the new signal-caller.

Kentucky’s defense is pretty solid, and it’ll be able to keep this one close for stretches of this game. Look for this one to be a tough contest for most of the night, but Florida will get it done at the end.

* Final Score Prediction * Florida Gators: 24 – Kentucky Wildcats: 16

 

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh

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SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Saturday, September 7

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
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[10:30 p.m. EST] Under 43 – #23 Stanford Cardinal at USC Trojans

The SpreadKnowledge College Football Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the Stanford-USC game on Saturday. After all, both teams are missing the quarterback they started the season with, making this a game of field position – and lots of yawns.

While each program typically does a good job of recruiting, it’s all about preparation in this instance.

For Stanford, their offense already looked lost against Northwestern in the season opener. Then, their quarterback K.J. Costello had to leave the game with a concussion. Davis Mills, who the Cardinal will start tonight, filled in by 7-for-14 with 81 passing yards but the offense didn’t make any extra strides.

In fact, Stanford’s offense only managed 10 points, with their last touchdown coming in the final seconds on defense.

As for USC, their loss at quarterback could be a lot more detrimental. JT Daniels was expected to do big things for the Trojans but an ACL injury will keep him sidelined for the remainder of the season. Now, it’s up to Kedon Slovis to steer the ship from here on out in 2019.

Both defenses had their respective shining moments in the season opener, so it’s not like these quarterbacks are going to have an easy period of adjustment in this one. Look for both teams to struggle offensively, and it might even be a case of whoever gets to 20 first wins the ball game.

* Final Score Prediction * Stanford Cardinal: 20 – USC Trojans: 13

SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Friday, September 6

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
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In order to get access to those same picks that were once in this space, sign up at the link above. We’ll be posting one pick here in this space each day for free. Know that it does have a high value, but it just won’t be the highest-rated one from the SK system.

Also, we’re happy to announce that we’re reducing prices this week before the start of NFL season. The prices on our packages are now going from:

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[8:00 p.m. EST] Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-19.5) at Rice Owls

The SpreadKnowledge College Football Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the Wake Forest-Rice game. We’re taking the Demon Deacons to cover the massive 19.5-point spread and roll to victory over the Owls.

Wake Forest came from behind late in their season-opening win against Utah State. However, tonight’s matchup against Rice won’t require as much drama, considering it’s a much less-inferior opponent.

The Demon Deacons were led by quarterback Jamie Newman, who threw for 401 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s win. Wide receiver Sage Surratt was Newman’s favorite target, hauling in seven catches for 158 yards and a touchdown, while running back Cade Carney ran for 105 yards.

Rice has lost 12 of its last 13 games dating back to last season, with 10 of them coming by two touchdowns or more. Not to mention, the Owls’ offense has been in a sputtering motion with seven games of scoring 20 points or less in their last nine.

On the other hand, Wake Forest has scored a total of 134 points in their last three games dating back to last season.

All in all, Wake Forest’s offense will prove to be too much for Rice to handle tonight. The Demon Deacons have plenty of weapons on offense, while the Owls just can’t seem to get it together on that side of the ball. When it’s all said and done this season, we’ll be looking at Rice as one of the worst teams in the country – no surprise there.

* Final Score Prediction * Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 44 – Rice Owls: 17

SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Monday, September 2

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
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Also, we’re happy to announce that we’re reducing prices this week before the start of NFL season. The prices on our packages are now going from:

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[8:00 p.m. EST] #9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Louisville Cardinals (+18.5)

The SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day comes to us from college football’s version of Monday Night Football, as Notre Dame hits the road to take on Louisville. We’ll be taking the Cardinals to cover the massive 18.5-point spread.

While Notre Dame does win a lot of regular-season games, they typically don’t do it by a wide margin. Six of their 12 regular-season wins last season came by 10 points or fewer, including winning each of their first three games by single-digits.

The Fighting Irish lost a ton of talent on the defensive end from last year’s squad, but they’ll also be missing some key offensive players who were set to make an impact this season. Tight end Cole Kmet and receivers Michael Young and Kevin Austin all won’t suit up for this game. Not to mention, Notre Dame has a new kicker and punter on their roster from last season.

Louisville had an absolutely disastrous 2018 season, finishing 2-10 overall and 1-11 against the spread. However, there’s a new coaching staff in town that has a lot of people excited – particularly on the defensive end, where the 3-4 scheme is a better fit for the personnel the Cardinals already have in place.

We’re not looking for Louisville to win this game outright, but the home-field advantage does help their chances to keep it close. Look for the Notre Dame offense to get off to its usual slow start, and for Louisville to play some inspired ball for the new coaching staff.

* Final Score Prediction * Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 24 – Louisville Cardinals: 17

SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Saturday, August 31

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
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Also, we’re happy to announce that we’re reducing prices this week before the start of NFL season. The prices on our packages are now going from:

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[7:30 p.m. EST] Georgia Southern Eagles (+27) at #6 LSU Tigers

Today’s NCAAF Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the Georgia Southern-LSU game. While the Tigers may be a big player once the College Football Playoff rolls around, we don’t expect them to beat the Eagles by enough today to cover the spread.

LSU has a new offense they’ll be putting in place this season, and we’ve seen a few programs struggle in order to get on the same page right off the bat. It’s also worth noting that Ed Orgeron’s LSU teams are 0-7 against the spread when favored by 25+ points in his time there.

There’s also a big matchup against Texas next week for LSU, so we shouldn’t expect them to roll too many big plays out. The more they do of that, the more film the Longhorns will have on them for next week.

While Georgia Southern certain won’t walk into Death Valley and get a win, they do have enough talent to keep this game close. In the past, this program has played well against Power-5 Conference opponents and come up just shy.

If bettors can move the number up to +28, that would be ideal. Getting the bet to that number would give the bettor the opportunity to keep it at an even four touchdowns (plus extra point). It’s not a bad idea to keep it cautious in this instance, but everything should be fine going with the +27 if you don’t want to lay the extra money.

* Final Score Prediction * LSU Tigers: 34 – Georgia Southern Eagles: 14

SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Friday, August 30

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
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Also, we’re happy to announce that we’re reducing prices this week before the start of NFL season. The prices on our packages are now going from:

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[7:00 p.m. EST] #19 Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5) at South Florida Bulls

Paul Chryst and his Badgers head down to Tampa to take on Charlie Strong and the Bulls in an early-season showdown. We’re taking the Badgers in this one, considering there’s one matchup that should control the tempo of this game.

If you know anything about college football, you know that Wisconsin that runs that rock right down their opponents’ throats on a regular basis. Well, things will be no different tonight as running back Jonathan Taylor leads a potent attack against a USF defense that is incapable of stopping the ground attack. Taylor actually accumulated the most rushing yards as a freshman in NCAA history, and then came back last season to have the most yards as a sophomore in NCAA history. Can he break the junior mark now? Time will tell…

Look for the Badgers to stay true to who they are and control the clock all night.

The Bulls have a new offensive coordinator in Kerwin Bell, a Division II national championship-winning coach at Valdosta State. We expect him to have success at some point, but his first bout of installing this new offense at USF could certainly be a rocky one.

Don’t worry about USF having home-field advantage in this one, because honestly – it’s really not much of an advantage. The Bulls play at Raymond James Stadium, home of the NFL’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and there’s more of a state-fair feel to the crowd rather than a rawkus college atmosphere.

We like the Badgers to take control of this game early and never look back. 10.5 points is a lot to lay on the road, but we feel like the Bulls are a bit overhyped coming into this one.

* Final Score Prediction * Wisconsin Badgers: 31 – South Florida Bulls: 13

SpreadKnowledge NCAAF Free Pick of the Day – Thursday, August 29

By: Al Walsh – Follow him on  Twitter @14AdotWalsh
SpreadKnowledge is going with a new format for our free article/mailer from here on out. For our highest-rated picks, you can sign up at SpreadKnowledge.com.

In order to get access to those same picks that were once in this space, sign up at the link above. We’ll be posting one pick here in this space each day for free. Know that it does have a high value, but it just won’t be the highest-rated one from the SK system.

Also, we’re happy to announce that we’re reducing prices this week before the start of NFL season. The prices on our packages are now going from:

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Member: $30.00 to $20.00/month
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[10:15 p.m. EST] #14 Utah Utes (-6.5) at BYU Cougars

Tonight will be the 100th installment of the Holy War rivalry as the BYU Cougars host the No. 14 Utah Utes. This game might not resonate with most of the country, but these two teams from The Beehive State absolutely despise each other and that should make for some great late-night TV on ESPN for us East coast viewers.

Utah won last year’s game by the score of 35-27, having to overcome a daunting 20-0 halftime deficit. The Utes outscored the Cougars 21-0 in the final quarter before walking away with the victory.

That loss was a massive blow for the entire BYU community, and it’ll certainly be in the back of their minds. However, the game is played on the field, and Utah’s personnel (particularly on offense) is much better than that of BYU.

Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley and running Zack Moss both missed last year’s game against BYU and a good chunk of the Utes’ final stretch run in 2018. They’ll certainly be excited to show the Cougars, and the rest of the nation, what people have missing for so long. Add in a very deep, and talented, Utes’ receiving core and new offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig, and we’ve got smiles from ear to ear for this one.

Expect the ball to get spread around quite a bit tonight for the Utes. In addition to Moss, Utah has other talented running backs that can tote the rock as well.

BYU does have a talented quarterback in Zach Wilson, who completed all 18 of his passes for 317 yards and four touchdowns in the 2018 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl win over Western Michigan. However, that defense is nothing like the one he’ll be facing tonight.

Utah’s defensive line boasts numerous guys up front that’ll likely be playing on Sundays in the near future. While BYU’s O-line isn’t one to be considered a slouch, this will certainly make life difficult on their offense. Senior transfer Ty’Son Williams from South Carolina is expected to have a big year, but it could very well get off to a rocky start if Utah’s D-line brings their A-game.

That major comeback from last year’s game isn’t only on the minds of BYU. Expect Utah to come out with lots of energy and not let that same deficit haunt them this time around.

It’s important for bettors to act early and get that 6.5-point Utes’ spread, as opposed to the 7.0 one that might be floating around before kickoff.

* Final Score Prediction * Utah Utes: 31 – BYU Cougars: 20