Spreadknowledge betting tips for this weekend’s Bundesliga games

Seven of nine of my tips landed last weekend which brings my percentage to 74.0 per cent since the Bundesliga returned to action. Here are my tips for this weekend’s games.
Freiburg v Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach have more riding in this game than Freiburg with the visitors well placed to qualify for next season’s Champions League. Marco Rose’ side are currently fourth but a win at Freiburg will see them move to within a point of Dortmind who enter this weekend’s fixtures second. Monchengladbach have taken 41 points from a possible 45 when they have scored the first goal in matches. Freiburg have not scored the first goal in their last two league games so I would expect the visitors to once again open the scoring in this fixture.
Suggested bet: Monchengladbach to score the first goal
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Munich are all set to be crowned champions for a 30th time and their eighth in a row. Hans-Dieter Flick’s side have a comfortable seven-point cushion at the top of the Bundesliga with just five games to play. And their form has been phenomenal before the COVID-19 break and after with 14 wins and a draw from their last 15 league games. And they have been winning in style with 17 of their 21 wins coming after they have led at half-time. Their last four wins have seen HT/FT doubles land. And this should pay out again.
Suggested bet: Bayern Munich HT/FT double
Dusseldorf v Hoffenheim
Dusseldorf’s fight to avoid relegation continues at home to Hoffenheim who are still in the mix to qualify for next season’s Europa League. Hoffenheim have scored exactly one goal in each of their last five league games away from home and there is every possibility they could add to that sequence and perhaps score more than once. The visitors also have a good run going on the road and if they score in this fixture, it will be the 13th successive away league game in which they will have found the net.
Suggested bet: Hoffenheim to score over 0.5 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz
Mainz have not done enough to secure their place in next season’s Bundesliga, but a win or two in their final five games should do it. This will be a a tough test for them and there is a good chance both teams will score. It’s happened in Eintracht Frankfurt’s last three home games while BTTS has paid out in Mainz’s last two away games.
Suggested bet: Both teams to score
RB Leipzig v Paderborn
Paderborn’s time in the Bundesliga looks like it is coming to an end. The side sitting rock bottom of the league are running out of time to claw back the points they need to get out of trouble. With five games remaining, they need help from other clubs which at this stage of the season is very unlikely. And a trip to RB Leipzig is the last thing they need. The home side are in a battle to secure a top-four spot which would see them qualify for next season’s Champions League. It would be a shock to see anything other than a Leipzig win here. And a comfortable win at that.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals
Dortmund v Hertha Berlin
Dortmund’s chances of winning the league are all but over, but with just four points between them and fifth-placed Bayer Leverkusen, the home side can not take this fixture for granted. After a goalless first half at Paderborn last weekend. And I expect Dortmund carrying that form into this game. Dortmund have scored the first goal in seven of their last eight games and with the attacking options they have, I would expect the home side to strike first in this game.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals
Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen are another side in danger of slipping out of the Bundesliga when this season draws to a close in the next month or so. And when the dust settles, they can look at a lack of goals as one of the reason why. They have scored just three goals in their last five games. They have failed to score in six of their last 11 games. Those struggles are likely to continue at home to Wolfsburg who have picked up more points away from home than at home in their last 10 games. With 13 points from a possible 15, Wolfsburg will start as favourites in this game.
Suggested bet: Wolfsburg to win
Union Berlin v Schalke
Schalke are in free-fall right now, but they should have enough points on the board to stay up. Again goals has been an issue for David Warner’s side and with nothing to play for, you have to wonder if they can come away from the capital with a win. Neither of these sides are used to going in at half-time ahead on the scoreboard. Schalke have led at the interval just once in their last 12 while the home side have not led at half-time in their last five. Don’t be surprised if this is level at half-time as both sides approach this game with caution.
Suggested bet: Draw at half-time
Augsburg v Cologne
When will Cologne’s run of successive games with at least three total goals scored come to an end? The run currently stands at 12 thanks to their six-goal entertaining home game against RB Leipzig. That run includes Cologne’s last five away games and with two of Augsburg’s last three home games producing three or more goals, then over 2.5 total goals could be the best bet in this fixture. BTTS is another bet that could land. It’s landed in Cologne’s last six games while five of Augsburg’s last six games have seen goals for both them and their opponents.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals

Spreadknowledge betting tips for Bundesliga return

Dortmund v Schalke

Dortmund resume the season four points behind current leaders Bayern Munich and they face a Schalke side harbouring hopes of playing European football next season. Dortmund outscored their opponents 27-9 in the eight matches before the lockdown and have scored the first goal in six of their last seven including their last four. Dortmund will be looking to score in their 15th successive league game. Schalke will hope the break will have helped them find a way of scoring a goal on their travels. They have failed to find the net in their last four away games and they have been nilled in five of their last seven. The away side have only managed one goal before half-time in their last eight.

Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals

Augsburg v Wolfsburg

One of the trends that jumps out ahead of this game is the frequency in which BTTS has paid out in matches involving Augsburg and Wolfsburg. In the last three home games played by Augsburg, who are two places above the relegation play-off berth, there have been goals for both them and their opponents. BTTS has landed in the last four away games played by Wolfsburg, who have scored 12 of their last 16 goals in the second half. Of the last 21 goals conceded by the home side, 18 have come after the half-time interval. Augsburg are without a win in their last five while Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last six.

Suggested bet: Both teams to score 

Dusseldorf v Paderborn

Dusseldorf host basement side Paderborn hoping they can pick up where they left off before the suspension of games in March. Dusseldorf lost just one of their last six, although four of them were draws. Paderborn have their work cut out to stay in the Bundesliga and a win this weekend will certainly lift spirits and give them hope for the remainder of the campaign. Paderborn have not let at half-time in their last eight and go into this encounter with just one point to show from their last six games. Dusseldorf have scored first in four of their last six while the visitors have conceded the first goal in their last five. Neither side has been involved in a goalless draw so far this season. Could that change this weekend in a cagey affair?

Suggested bet: Dusseldorf to score the first goal 

RB Leipzig  v Freiburg

RB Leipzip have ‘on paper’ the most favourable run-in of the sides battling it out for the German title. Leipzig have five points to make up on leaders Bayern Munich and they will be expected to pick up all three points against Freiburg who are eighth in the table. Leipzig have won all 12 games this season when they have led at half-time and have taken 34 points from a possible 36 when scoring first, although they have not scored first in eight of their last 10 games. If the home side keep Freiburg to nil, it will be their fifth clean sheet in their last six games. A fast start would help the visitors but without a goal in the first 28 minutes of their last 12 games, the odds are against Freiburg from catching their hosts cold.

Suggested bet: RB Leipzig to lead at half-time 

Hoffenheim v Hertha Berlin

The suspension of football came at a good time for Hertha Berlin who had been guilty of starting games slowly before the break. In the three games prior to the decision to put the season on hold, Hertha conceded five goals in the first 10 minutes of their last three matches. The question is whether Hoffenheim can add to that. If their last games are any indication, then the answer is no. Hoffenheim have not scored before the 23rd minute in their last 10 matches. Despite that, this game could well see goals based on the fact over 2.5 goals paid out in Hoffenheim’s last six home games and Hertha’s last three away games.

Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals 

Eintracht Frankfurt v B Munchengladbach 

Eintracht Frankfurt will do well to score in the first half. Munchengladbach have conceded just three first half goals in their last 10 matches while Frankfurt have only managed to scored twice before the interval in their last nine games. Nine of the last 12 goals Frankfurt have conceded have come in the second half and three of them have come in the 49th minute of their last three matches. Munchengladbach have scored first in five of their last six games while Frankfurt have conceded first in four of their last five. BTTS has paid out in the last seven games the visiting team have played while Frankfurt’s last home game saw goals for both teams.

Suggested bet: Both Frankfurt and Munchengladbach to score 

Cologne v Mainz

Mainz are in danger of being involved in the relegation play-off and a trip to Cologne could be a tricky return to action for them. If both sides pick up from where they left off before the suspension of the league, then goals should be guaranteed. In Cologne’s last eight games, the total match goals have been – 4, 6, 4, 5, 5, 3, 3 and 3. The total goal in Mainz’s last seven away games have been – 8. 6. 3. 5, 4, 4 and 4. Mainz have conceded six goals in the opening 30 minutes of their last eight games.

Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals 

Union Berlin v Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich’s destiny is in their own hands over the last nine games they have to play. Win them all and they are champions again. Bayern are unbeaten in their last 11 league games and have registered clean sheets in six of their last nine. They have not conceded the first goal in their last 10 league games and have won the last nine games when they have scored first while Union Berlin have taken just one point from a possible 36 when conceding the opening goal. Bayern have not allowed their opponents to score within the first 20 minutes of their 12 matches. Union Berlin’s last four matches have seen over 2.5 total goals scored while Bayern’s last 10 away games have produced at least three goals.

Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals 

Werder Bremen v Bayer Leverkusen

The final game of this round of games comes on Monday night with Bayer Leverkusen visiting Werder Bremen. Fifth-placed Leverkusen should take care of business against Bremen who sit second from bottom. Expect a fast start from the visitors who have opened the scoring in eight of their last nine games. Leverkusen have not trailed at half-time in their last 17 league games while scoring goals has been a problem for the home side. Bremen have failed to score in their last five home games. Bremen have managed just five goals in their last 11 matches. Of the last 14 goals conceded by Bremen, 11 have come in the second half.

Suggested bet: Leverkusen to score first