SpreadKnowledge betting tips for Bundesliga’s Matchday 30

Hoffenheim v RB Leipzig
Over 2.5 goals has paid out in Hoffenheim’s last eight league games at their PreZero Arena while Leipzig’s last two league games away have seen over 2.5 total goals scored. While there could well be three or more goals scored in this fixture, I’m going to err on the side of caution and go for over 1.5 total goals. Hoffenheim have yet to be behind at half-time in their five matches played since the league returned while Leipzig, who trailed 1-0 at the interval of their first game back against Freiburg, have not trailed at the break in their last four.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 total goals

Cologne v Union Berlin
Cologne’s incredible run of games in which there were three or more total goals scored came to an end last weekend when they drew 1-1 at Augsburg. I predicted there would be over 1.5 total goals which eventually landed, but it was close with both goals coming in the final four minutes. This game offers Cologne a chance to be involved in another match with over 2.5 total goals which would be their eighth successive home league game in which that has happened. They match up well with Union Berlin whose last four league games played away their capital home have seen over 2.5 pay out. The second half could be the highest scoring half given the defensive records of both sides. Cologne have conceded 10 first half goals in their last 13 league games while conceding 15 in the second half. Union have conceded 10 goals before the interval in their last 15 matches and given up 23 goals after half-time.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Dusseldorf v Dortmund
The bet that jumps out in this fixture is the second half being the highest scoring half. Of the last 51 goals scored in matches involving Dortmund, 35 (68.6%) have been scored in the second half. Of the last 39 goals netted in Dusseldorf’s last 15 league games, 25 (64.1%) have come after the interval. And the smart money would be on Dortmund to win the second half. The Yellow and Blacks have outscored their opponents 28-7 in the second half while Dusseldorf have been outscored 18-7 after half-time. Dortmund will be strong favourites to score the first goal also. They have done so in eight of their last nine league games while Dusseldorf have failed to open the scoring in their last three home games.
Suggested bet: Second half to be Dortmund’s highest scoring half

Hertha Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt
These two sides have played the patient game in recent times with the majority of their goals scored coming in the second half. Hertha have scored 21 goals in their last 14 league games and 17 (80.9%) of them have come in the second half. Eintracht have scored 23 goals in their last 14 league encounters and 19 (82.6%) have been scored in the second half. I would expect that trend to continue in this fixture just as it did in the reverse fixture when three of the four goals were scored after the interval.
Suggested bet: Second half to be the highest scoring half

Paderborn v Werder Bremen
It’s a battle between the Bundesliga’s bottom two. Could this be the weekend that Paderborn’s exit from the Bundesliga is confirmed? They remain bottom 11 points from safety and eight points behind Dusseldorf who currently occupy the relegation play-off place. Steffen Baumgart’s side have not won any of their last 11 league games although they have drawn four of their five games since the league returned a month ago. Werder Bremen’s chances of surviving as each week passes but while there is hope, they will carry on fighting. Don’t expect too many goals in this encounter. Paderborn have failed to score in three of their last seven and when they have scored in the other four games, they have managed only one goal. Werder Bremen have failed to score in 10 of their last 17 matches. They have only scored multiple goals in one of those 17 matches.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 goals

Wolfsburg v Freiburg
In terms of qualifying for European football next season, Freiburg are on the outside looking in. They are currently eighth in the table, two points behind Hoffenheim who are one place above them. A win at Wolfsburg will move them to within a point of their opponents who are sixth. The first meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Freiburg with the only goal coming five minutes from time. This is a difficult one to call in terms of betting purposes so I’m going to go for under 3.5 total goals.
Suggested bet: Under 3.5 total goals

Bayern Munich v Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich could be crowned champions if they beat Borussia Monchengladbach in the evening kick-off and Dortmund lose at Dusseldorf earlier on Saturday afternoon. If the leaders are to win this game, they will have to do it without two of their most influential players. Robert Lewandowski, who leads the league with 30 goals and Thomas Muller, who has a league-high 20 assists, are both suspended after picking up yellow cards last weekend. Their absence will allow Serge Gnabry the chance to lead the line. Gnabry ended a five-game goal drought in the league when he scored his side’s third in their 4-2 win at Bayer Leverkusen.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Mainz v Augsburg
The last 17 meetings between these two sides have seen at least two goals scored and I think that sequence could continue this weekend. Seven of Mainz’s last eight league games have seen over 1.5 total goals pay out while 18 of Augsburg’s last 19 league games have produced a minimum of two total goals scored. Neither of these sides are used to leading at half-time. Mainz have turned around at the break leading just once in their last six league games while the visitors have led at the interval once in their last eight. Goals have been more common in the second half of matches involving Augsburg than before the break. Of the last 14 league goals they have scored, 10 (71.4%) have come in the second half. And of the 29 league goals they have conceded, 24 (82.8) have been scored after half-time.   
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals

Schalke v Bayer Leverkusen
The final game of Matchday 30 sees Bayer Leverkusen travel to Schalke. The form book suggests this should be a straightforward away win. Schalke’s search for a win continues as last weekend’s 1-1 draw at Union Berlin was the 12th straight game without a win. Leverkusen led league leaders Bayern for 17 minutes before the champions-elect went on to win 4-2. I’m going for the visitors to score the first goal in this game. Leverkusen has been quick out of the blocks scoring the first goal in seven of their last eight league games while Schalke has conceded the opening goal in six of their last eight,
Suggested bet: Leverkusen to score the first goal

Spreadknowledge betting tips for this weekend’s Bundesliga games

Seven of nine of my tips landed last weekend which brings my percentage to 74.0 per cent since the Bundesliga returned to action. Here are my tips for this weekend’s games.
Freiburg v Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach have more riding in this game than Freiburg with the visitors well placed to qualify for next season’s Champions League. Marco Rose’ side are currently fourth but a win at Freiburg will see them move to within a point of Dortmind who enter this weekend’s fixtures second. Monchengladbach have taken 41 points from a possible 45 when they have scored the first goal in matches. Freiburg have not scored the first goal in their last two league games so I would expect the visitors to once again open the scoring in this fixture.
Suggested bet: Monchengladbach to score the first goal
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Munich are all set to be crowned champions for a 30th time and their eighth in a row. Hans-Dieter Flick’s side have a comfortable seven-point cushion at the top of the Bundesliga with just five games to play. And their form has been phenomenal before the COVID-19 break and after with 14 wins and a draw from their last 15 league games. And they have been winning in style with 17 of their 21 wins coming after they have led at half-time. Their last four wins have seen HT/FT doubles land. And this should pay out again.
Suggested bet: Bayern Munich HT/FT double
Dusseldorf v Hoffenheim
Dusseldorf’s fight to avoid relegation continues at home to Hoffenheim who are still in the mix to qualify for next season’s Europa League. Hoffenheim have scored exactly one goal in each of their last five league games away from home and there is every possibility they could add to that sequence and perhaps score more than once. The visitors also have a good run going on the road and if they score in this fixture, it will be the 13th successive away league game in which they will have found the net.
Suggested bet: Hoffenheim to score over 0.5 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt v Mainz
Mainz have not done enough to secure their place in next season’s Bundesliga, but a win or two in their final five games should do it. This will be a a tough test for them and there is a good chance both teams will score. It’s happened in Eintracht Frankfurt’s last three home games while BTTS has paid out in Mainz’s last two away games.
Suggested bet: Both teams to score
RB Leipzig v Paderborn
Paderborn’s time in the Bundesliga looks like it is coming to an end. The side sitting rock bottom of the league are running out of time to claw back the points they need to get out of trouble. With five games remaining, they need help from other clubs which at this stage of the season is very unlikely. And a trip to RB Leipzig is the last thing they need. The home side are in a battle to secure a top-four spot which would see them qualify for next season’s Champions League. It would be a shock to see anything other than a Leipzig win here. And a comfortable win at that.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals
Dortmund v Hertha Berlin
Dortmund’s chances of winning the league are all but over, but with just four points between them and fifth-placed Bayer Leverkusen, the home side can not take this fixture for granted. After a goalless first half at Paderborn last weekend. And I expect Dortmund carrying that form into this game. Dortmund have scored the first goal in seven of their last eight games and with the attacking options they have, I would expect the home side to strike first in this game.
Suggested bet: Over 1.5 total goals
Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen are another side in danger of slipping out of the Bundesliga when this season draws to a close in the next month or so. And when the dust settles, they can look at a lack of goals as one of the reason why. They have scored just three goals in their last five games. They have failed to score in six of their last 11 games. Those struggles are likely to continue at home to Wolfsburg who have picked up more points away from home than at home in their last 10 games. With 13 points from a possible 15, Wolfsburg will start as favourites in this game.
Suggested bet: Wolfsburg to win
Union Berlin v Schalke
Schalke are in free-fall right now, but they should have enough points on the board to stay up. Again goals has been an issue for David Warner’s side and with nothing to play for, you have to wonder if they can come away from the capital with a win. Neither of these sides are used to going in at half-time ahead on the scoreboard. Schalke have led at the interval just once in their last 12 while the home side have not led at half-time in their last five. Don’t be surprised if this is level at half-time as both sides approach this game with caution.
Suggested bet: Draw at half-time
Augsburg v Cologne
When will Cologne’s run of successive games with at least three total goals scored come to an end? The run currently stands at 12 thanks to their six-goal entertaining home game against RB Leipzig. That run includes Cologne’s last five away games and with two of Augsburg’s last three home games producing three or more goals, then over 2.5 total goals could be the best bet in this fixture. BTTS is another bet that could land. It’s landed in Cologne’s last six games while five of Augsburg’s last six games have seen goals for both them and their opponents.
Suggested bet: Over 2.5 goals