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[4:10 p.m. EST] Over 9.5 – Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres
BOS: Brian Johnson – L (1-2, 6.58 ERA/2.04 WHIP)
SD: Joey Lucchesi – L (8-7, 4.20 ERA/1.18 WHIP)
The SpreadKnowledge MLB Free Pick of the Day comes to us from the Padres-Red Sox game in San Diego on Sunday afternoon. We’ve got the total going over in this one, considering each of the first two games of this series has done the same.
Brian Johnson won’t pitch long for the Red Sox, but while he does, the Padres’ offense can certainly take advantage of his presence. The lefty has been getting ripped for most of his MLB career, and now this season he’s taking it to another level, allowing baserunners with great regularity.
With the Padres dropping the first two games of this series, you have to imagine their offense will bring a lot more urgency to the plate today.
Joey Lucchesi typically does his best work at home, but this Red Sox lineup that can give him some issues today. After a couple of rough performances, it looks like it did Boston some good to get out on the road, with 16 runs over the first two games of this series.
Not to mention, the Red Sox’ offense has been bopping left-handed pitching lately, posting gaudy .389 weighted on-base average and .255 ISO (power metric) marks over the last 21 days.
All in all, we’re looking for a lot of runs early in this one and that should get bettors of the over off on the right foot.
* Final Score Prediction * San Diego Padres: 8 – Boston Red Sox: 5